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Newsletter - February 2005

 
 

Converge Around What? - By Richard Chirgwin
 

The world could really do with an anatomy of convergence, but that would need a thesis, not an article!

A decade or so back, the expression was used to describe something which never really happened: everything was going to converge on a single piece of consumer electronics hardware, so you would have one box which could act as a TV, computer, and video-phone. It never seemed to occur to the thought-leaders of the day that some people use the phone, TV, and computer at the same time; nor that the overwhelming trend in consumer electronics was to sell users more devices, not fewer.

As the Internet took off, convergence was taken to describe what was happening to traffic on networks. Everything, the argument went, would converge to a single network.

That description of convergence has been more, but not completely, successful.

Nearly everything travels as data these days and much of it is traversing an IP infrastructure for at least part of the journey. So convergence is true in that sense.

But at the same time, the customer end of convergence has, ahem, diverged. That “single” IP network fans out to a host of possible customer tails – wired broadband (be it ADSL, cable, or fibre), shared wireless broadband (wireless Ethernet for short range, 802.16 for longer range), or cellular networks.

What of the migration of communications features away from proprietary hardware, towards being lines of code hosted on standard software? The very shift which has given birth to capabilities like VoIP? This also represents a manifestation of convergence; one in which quite different services are created not by deploying new switches, but by writing new software for existing platforms.

Well ... it's convergence, but not as we know it.

Three definitions of convergence; all accurate (to a degree), but like the blind men grasping different parts of the elephant, all of them incomplete. Definitions of convergence are incomplete because they describe a technical phenomenon, but convergence is truly a social phenomenon: its focal point is not a technology, but a user.

It's a phenomenon that's taking place in step with another great social change, the blurring of the line between “at home” and “at work”. The earliest views of convergence focussed on consumer behaviour only and, to this day, the consumer electronics industry still thinks of convergence in terms of consumer devices.

But the consumer is no longer so easily distinguished from the employee: they're one and the same person, working and playing at the same time.

All that converged technology, in other words, is only valuable to people if we learn to understand “social convergence”. We have the converged network; it's now time to learn about the converged user.

Here, I believe, is the future of convergence: the winners in the market will be the companies whose technical platforms, skills base, partnerships and sales are matched by an understanding of the users around whose needs all this technology is converging.

If you're a user it's a wonderful vision, if someone can build the services and manage the converged network.

Hence the role of companies like Macquarie Telecom - a carrier who can manage not just the network, but the dizzying array of hosts, applications, hardware and data that turns the packet transport into services for users.

* Richard Chirgwin has 17 years as a journalist specialising in IT&T. He is currently working as a freelance journalist, as well as editing the CommsWorld Website (www.commsworld.com.au) and consulting with telecommunications research analyst Telsyte.

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